What Will the Future Hold for Generalists and Specialists Over the Next 75 Years?

The Next 75 Years: Will Generalists or Specialists Prevail?

The choice between specialization and generalization has evolved in the investment profession over the past 75 years. Specialization has become a necessity in modern finance due to factors such as internationalization, new asset classes and products, industry concentration, and quantitative investing. Generalists still play an important role in boutique investment firms and in coordinating efforts between specialists. The optimal skillset … Read More

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The Dangers of Nuclear Conflict: Why We Must Take Action

Nuclear Conflict: Why We Must Consider the Risks

Key Points: The risks of nuclear conflict have become more apparent in the wake of Russia’s attack on Ukraine. Investors should not dismiss the importance of financial stability in the face of nuclear conflict. Implementing risk controls, such as diversification and monitoring counterparty resilience, is crucial. Sustainability considerations, like the UN Sustainable Development Goals, highlight the need to reduce nuclear … Read More

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The Economics Factor in the Private Capital Wealth Equation, Part 2

The Private Capital Wealth Equation, Part 2: The Economics Variable

Key Points: Private capital firms accumulate wealth regardless of the risk-return trade-off of their portfolios. Fund managers offload investment risk by diversifying their investments and limiting their losses through co-investment. Private equity firms can tilt the balance in their favor by using leverage, but this can also increase the likelihood of default. The private capital wealth equation relies on management … Read More

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The Benefits of Equity: Utilizing Earnings for Reinvestment

The Equity Advantage: Reinvestment of Earnings

Key Points: Equities allow for the reinvestment of earnings, unlike other asset classes like bonds, real estate, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. Companies can choose to distribute a portion of their profits as dividends or buybacks, while the rest can be reinvested in the business. Equities offer the potential for superior compounding due to the reinvestment of earnings. The median quarterly return … Read More

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Creating Investment Organizations for the Future: Insights from Asset Owners

Asset Owner Perspectives: Building Investment Organizations Fit for the Future

Asset owners are building multi-generational, long-horizon portfolios PGGM is transitioning to a 3D framework that integrates risk, return, and impact PGGM plans to direct 20% of its investment portfolio to helping achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2025 CPP Investments focuses on the sustainability of the plan itself and its long-term financial standing CPP Investments leverages its long-horizon … Read More

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The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level and Inflation: An Analysis of Cochrane and Coleman’s Contributions

Cochrane and Coleman: The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level and Inflation Episodes

Key Points: The fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) explains inflation as a result of excessive government debt that cannot be repaid through future taxes or spending reductions. Inflation occurs when people anticipate that government debt will not be repaid, leading them to spend the debt rather than hold onto it. The current inflation episode can be explained by … Read More

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Review of “The Price of Time”

Book Review: The Price of Time

Key Points: The slowing global economy can be attributed to central banks’ love affair with artificially low interest rates. Low interest rates promote malinvestment, bloated asset prices, financialization, and the “zombification” of companies. The effects of low interest rates have led to increasing inequality and the rise of authoritarian populism. Elderly retirees benefit from inflated asset prices, while young savers … Read More

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The Reality of an Upside-Down Depression: The Federal Reserve is Not Joking

The Fed Isn’t Bluffing: The Real Threat of an Upside-Down Depression

“Shortly after October 6, 1979, [US Federal Reserve chair Paul Volcker] met with some chief executives of medium-sized firms. . . . One CEO announced that he had recently signed a three-year labor contract with annual wage increases of 13 percent — and was happy with the result. Only bitter experience would purge inflationary expectations and behavior. ‘Credibility’ had to … Read More

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The Five Components of the Financial Adviser Value Proposition

The Financial Adviser Value Proposition: The Five Components

Key Points: Financial advisers offer unique value that clients cannot achieve on their own. Advisers help manage emotions and control biases. They provide access to resources, such as investment opportunities and specialized expertise. Advisers serve as sounding boards and actively listen to their clients’ concerns and goals. They excel at explaining complex financial concepts in easy-to-understand language. Advisers become trusted … Read More

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DC 2.0: Exploring Strategies for Achieving More Equitable Retirement Programs

DC 2.0: Three Paths to More Equitable Retirement Programs

Key Points: Low-income workers, women, and people of color tend to have less access to retirement plans and accumulate fewer retirement plan assets. To address these disparities, three primary methods are proposed: automatic plan design features, creative matching contribution formulas, and innovative education strategies. Automatic enrollment, minimum contribution levels, and stretch-matching can improve retirement outcomes for employees. Comprehensive financial education … Read More

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